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29.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 21:00 UTC
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CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
Municipal Limeno - Inca Aruba
M
Municipal Limeno
-
:
-
Not started
I
Inca Aruba
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Municipal Limeno — 71%
Pure model vs market (1 · Municipal Limeno): model 47% · market 72% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Municipal Limeno 70.7%, draw 18.4%, win Inca Aruba 10.9%. Model favourite — Municipal Limeno.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Municipal Limeno (odds1.85)
Score 2:1
confidence 54%
- • Model backs Munisipal Limenyu: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Municipal Limeno - Inca Aruba July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Municipal Limeno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.00 / 2 9.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick
71.7%
X
18.5%
2
9.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
2.05
↑ 15.00
1X2 X
3.35
↑ 6.80
1X2 P2
3.10
↓ 1.01
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Municipal Limeno
4
:
1
Inca Aruba
11.28
X4.90
28.55
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Municipal Limeno - Inca Aruba
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Municipal Limeno
72.2%
70.7%
market and model agree
Draw
18.2%
18.4%
draw risk
Inca Aruba
9.6%
10.9%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
70.7% / 18.4% / 10.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,342 / 1,301
Municipal Limeno / Inca Aruba
RD
291 / 281
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
760-1,924 / 740-1,863
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.17
market consensus · no value · model 10.9%
X
4.99
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.27
market consensus · no value · model 70.7%
Double chance
12
1.11
market consensus · no value · model 81.6%
1X
1.02
market consensus · no value · model 89.1%
X2
3.30
market consensus · no value · model 29.3%
Total
Over 2.5
1.65
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.67
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.13
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.13 47.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 3.10 32.3% | 3.50 28.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| X | 2.40 41.7% |
| 7.90 12.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.07 48.3% |
Match center
Municipal Limeno
L
Municipal Limeno
1:3
FAS
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Inca Aruba
L
Inca Aruba
1:3
Alyansa
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMunicipal Limeno - Inca Aruba
Municipal Limeno
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Municipal Limeno - Inca Aruba breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form