Salvador. Premier League
Atletico Balboa (w) - Isidro Metapan
Atletico Balboa (w) face Isidro Metapan on August 1, 2026 in the Salvador. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Balboa (w) 0-0-2, Isidro Metapan 1-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Isidro Metapan — 66%
Model estimate: win Atletico Balboa (w) 19.2%, draw 15.1%, win Isidro Metapan 65.7%. Model favourite — Isidro Metapan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Isidro Metapan: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico Balboa (w) - Isidro Metapan August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.10 / X 3.20 / 2 1.88
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Atletico Balboa (w) - Isidro Metapan
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.94 51.6% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.74 57.5% | 1.86 53.8% |
| x2 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.93 20.3% | |
| X | 2.01 49.8% |
| 2.50 40.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.78 56.2% |
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Balboa (w) - Isidro Metapan
Match history
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The Atletico Balboa (w) - Isidro Metapan breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form