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Salvador. Premier League
Salvador. Premier League
02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Not started

Salvador. Premier League

Atletico Balboa - Isidro Metapán

Football
A
Atletico Balboa
- : -
Not started
I
Isidro Metapán

Atletico Balboa meet Isidro Metapán on August 2, 2026 in the Salvador. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Balboa 0-0-2, Isidro Metapán 1-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Isidro Metapán40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Isidro Metapán): model 60% · market 39% Δ +21 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Atletico Balboa31.9%
X · draw27.8%
2 · Isidro Metapán40.3%

Model estimate: win Atletico Balboa 31.9%, draw 27.8%, win Isidro Metapán 40.3%. Model favourite — Isidro Metapán.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Isidro Metapán (odds1.85) Score 1:2 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Isidro Metapan: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Balboa - Isidro Metapán August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Isidro Metapán. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.88 / X 3.21 / 2 2.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 31.9%
X 28.6%
2 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Division
League table
Atletico Balboa
#111 ptsGP 20-1-12:4
Isidro Metapán
#16 ptsGP 22-0-06:2

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletico Balboa 1 : 2 Isidro Metapán
12.85
X3.18
22.29

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 31.9% @ 2.88 / X 28.6% @ 3.21 / 2 39.4% @ 2.33
Match center

Atletico Balboa - Isidro Metapán

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico Balboa 32.5% 31.9%
Draw 28.4% 27.8% draw risk
Isidro Metapán 39.1% 40.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.9% / 27.8% / 40.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,139 / 1,700 Atletico Balboa (w) / Isidro Metapan
RD 250 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 639-1,639 / 1,118-2,283 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.32 market consensus · no value · model 40.3%
X 3.19 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.82 market consensus · no value · model 31.9%
Double chance
12 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 72.2%
1X 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 59.7%
X2 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 68.1%
Handicap
2 -1 2.61 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.69 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.45 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.04 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.23 81.3% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4%
x2 1.31 76.3% 1.38 72.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.65 27.4%
X 2.07 48.3%
2.92 34.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.87 53.5%
Under 1 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Atletico Balboa
L L
28.07 19:30 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Atletico Balboa 2:4 Cacahuatique
25.07 19:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Atletico Balboa 2:5 Inter Santa Tecla
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.5 Conceded
0 Points
Isidro Metapán
L W
30.07 22:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Isidro Metapán 0:1 FAS
25.07 19:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Isidro Metapán 4:2 Cacahuatique
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points