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Salvador. Premier League
Salvador. Premier League
02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

Salvador. Premier League

Inca Aruba - FAS

Football
I
Inca Aruba
- : -
Not started
F
FAS

Inca Aruba face FAS on August 2, 2026 in the Salvador. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Inca Aruba 0-0-2, FAS 2-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 FAS — 62%

Pure model vs market (2 · FAS): model 56% · market 63% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Inca Aruba14.3%
market13%
X · draw24.2%
market24%
2 · FAS ✓ Pick61.6%
market63%

Model estimate: win Inca Aruba 14.3%, draw 24.2%, win FAS 61.6%. Model favourite — FAS.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FAS (odds1.96) Score 1:2 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs FAS: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.96)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inca Aruba - FAS August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: FAS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.10 / X 3.80 / 2 1.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 13.0%
X 24.3%
2 ✓ Pick 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Division
League table
Inca Aruba
#120 ptsGP 20-0-21:5
FAS
#63 ptsGP 21-0-13:3

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Inca Aruba 1 : 3 FAS
17.06
X3.76
21.44

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 13.0% @ 7.10 / X 24.3% @ 3.80 / 2 62.7% @ 1.47
Match center

Inca Aruba - FAS

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Inca Aruba 13.6% 14.3%
Draw 24.5% 24.2% draw risk
FAS 62.0% 61.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 14.3% / 24.2% / 61.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,196 / 1,658 Inca Aruba / FAS
RD 243 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 710-1,682 / 1,076-2,240 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 61.6%
X 3.73 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.80 market consensus · no value · model 14.3%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
1X 2.40 market consensus · no value · model 38.4%
X2 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 85.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.79 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3%
1x 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0%
x2 1.03 97.1% 1.07 93.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
7.20 13.9%
X 2.11 47.4%
2.05 48.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.86 53.8%
Under 1 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Inca Aruba
L L
29.07 21:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Inca Aruba 0:2 Munisipal Limenyu
25.07 22:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Inca Aruba 1:3 Alyansa
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
FAS
W W
30.07 22:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
FAS 1:0 Isidro Metapan
24.07 23:30 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
FAS 3:1 Munisipal Limenyu
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInca Aruba - FAS

Inca Aruba
0 matches total
FAS
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history