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AI verdict

AI pick Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win probability ~41% confidence Low best odds 3.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. Full breakdown below.

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Saudi Arabia: First Division
Saudi Arabia: First Division
28.08.2026 15:55 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
28.08.2026 15:55 UTC
Match in progress

Saudi Arabia: First Division

Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — Football prediction

Football
Stadium Zabeel Stadium
A
Al-Wasl FC
- : -
Match in progress
S
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Al Anwar take on Al-Ula in football, in Saudi Arabia: First Division, on 28 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Al-Ula as the favourite at around 41%. Sportsbook prices (5 books) put that result at roughly 41%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 25%.

Latest form: Al Anwar 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost; Al-Ula 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost. Al-Ula come in having won their last matches. Glicko ratings: Al Anwar 1433, Al-Ula 1608, a gap of 175 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 175 Glicko rating points, the model's 41% for Al-Ula. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — 41%

1 · Al-Wasl FC33.8%
X · draw24.9%
2 · Shabab Al Ahli Dubai41.3%

Model estimate: win Al-Wasl FC 33.8%, draw 24.9%, win Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 41.3%. Model favourite — Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Wasl FC - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai August 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.60 / X 6.10 / 2 3.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0% 5 books · best price +288.4%
1 33.7%
X 25.0%
2 41.3%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 2.50 5 books
Over 2.50 45.2%
Under 2.50 54.8%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Pro League
League table
Al-Wasl FC
#16 ptsGP 22-0-08:1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
#26 ptsGP 22-0-07:1
Best price across 13 books
1 2.98 10Bet
X 3.67 Pinnacle
2 2.38 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Al-Wasl FC
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 2.69 Conceded 1.16 xG 1.90 xGA 1.18 Corners 5.5
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 2.83 Conceded 1.25 xG 2.31 xGA 0.92 Corners 5.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Al-Wasl FC
Rating 1708 xG 1.19 Win 27%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Rating 1780 xG 1.70 Win 49%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Al-Wasl FC
45%
3.60
Draw
22%
11.00
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
33%
8.70
Handicap
Al-Wasl FC (1.5)
48%
2.08
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (1.5)
52%
2.03
Total
Over 5.5
49%
1.89
Under 5.5
51%
1.85
Both teams to score
Yes
44%
2.43
No
56%
2.05

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Al-Wasl FC 1 : 1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
15.50
X3.88
21.51

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Zabeel Stadium
Start 28.08.2026 15:55 UTC
Market 1 38.2% @ 3.60 / X 22.5% @ 6.10 / 2 39.3% @ 3.50
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 41%
💹 Market Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 41%
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Match center

Al-Wasl FC - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Al-Wasl FC 33.7% 33.8%
Draw 25.0% 24.9% draw risk
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 41.3% 41.3% market and model agree
xG - 1.19 : 1.70

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 33.8% / 24.9% / 41.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,433 / 1,608 Al Anwar / Al-Ula
RD 235 / 205 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 964-1,903 / 1,197-2,019 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
X 3.88 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.51 market consensus · no value · model 33.8%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
1X 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 58.7%
X2 1.61 market consensus · value +6.7% · model 66.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0% 2.05 48.8%
yes 2.33 42.9% 2.43 41.2% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.02 98.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.27 78.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.58 63.3% 1.55 64.5%
x2 2.66 37.6% 1.39 71.9% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.63 61.4%
X 3.00 33.3%
7.50 13.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.69 59.2%
Over 1 1.88 53.2%
Over 1.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 0.5 1.97 50.8%
Under 1 1.82 55.0%
Under 1.5 1.78 56.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-1, avg 2.5 gls
2026-04-27 · Al Anvar 1:2 Al Ula
2025-12-30 · Al Anvar 1:1 Al Ula
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6.2 (Winline) · X 4.3 (Winline) · 2 1.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 5.9 4.15 1.43
Winline 6.2 4.3 1.46
Fonbet 5.9 4.15 1.43
Betcity 5.2 4.2 1.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Al-Wasl FC
D
21.08 16:15 UTC Saudi Arabia: First Division Standings
Al-Wasl FC 0:0 Al-Bukayriya
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
W
23.08 18:00 UTC Saudi Arabia: First Division Standings
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3:0 Al-DzhabalaynAl-Dzhabalayn
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points

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Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

Live odds for Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Al-Wasl FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai start?

August 28, 2026.