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Segunda Liga
Segunda Liga Portugal
04.04.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Segunda Liga

Portugal

Farense - Feirense

Portugal Football
Stadium Estádio de São Lúis
Farense
Farense
0 : 1
Finished
Feirense
Feirense

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Farense - Feirense April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Farense.

Line favourite market consensus: Farense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.14 / 2 3.55
  • 1X2 market: Farense 44.8% / X 29.3% / Feirense 25.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 44.8%
X 29.3%
2 25.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 41.2%
Under 2.5 58.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Farense - Feirense

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.14 market consensus · line only
1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
2.01 49.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.12 32.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.12 32.1%
3.40 29.4% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.62 27.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet William Hill
no 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet William Hill
draw_away 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 — 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5 — 1.36 73.5%
Over 1.75 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 2.0 — 1.66 60.2%
Over 2.25 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3%
Over 2.5 — 2.29 43.7%
Over 2.75 — 2.62 38.2%
Over 3.0 — 3.38 29.6%
Over 3.25 — 3.80 26.3%
Over 3.5 — 4.15 24.1%
Over 3.75 — 5.35 18.7%
Over 4.0 — 7.90 12.7%
Over 4.25 — 8.40 11.9%
Under 2.25 1.79 55.9% —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFarense - Feirense

Farense
0 matches total
Feirense
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history