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Serbia: Superliga Standings

01.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Not started

Serbia: Superliga Standings

Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd

Football

Novi Pazar

- : -

Not started

OFK Beograd

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Novi Pazar — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Novi Pazar): model 57% · market 49% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Novi Pazar50.3%

X · draw26.7%

2 · OFK Beograd23.0%

Model estimate: win Novi Pazar 50.3%, draw 26.7%, win OFK Beograd 23.0%. Model favourite — Novi Pazar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.49) Score 1:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.49)
• edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Novi Pazar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 3.43 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%

1 48.9%

X 27.5%

2 23.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Super Liga

League table

Novi Pazar

#44 ptsGP 21-1-01:0

ARRAY

OFK Beograd

#111 ptsGP 20-1-10:4

ARRAY

Best price across 11 books

1 1.95 Betfair

X 3.40 Bet365

2 4.10 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Novi Pazar

W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.06 Conceded 1.88 xG 1.13 xGA 1.64 Corners 3.8

OFK Beograd

W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.94 Conceded 1.25 xG 1.21 xGA 1.72 Corners 3.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Novi Pazar

Rating 1550 xG 1.35 Win 46%

OFK Beograd

Rating 1488 xG 0.96 Win 27%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Keyzkoyn Arena (Novi Pazar, Serbia), vmestimost: 12000

Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Market 1 48.9% @ 1.93 / X 27.5% @ 3.43 / 2 23.6% @ 4.00

Match center

Novi Pazar - OFK Beograd

football, Novi Pazar - OFK Belgrad, 1 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Novi Pazar - OFK Belgrad, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Serbii po futbolu (Superliga) 2027, 3-y Round.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Novi Pazar 49.9% 50.3% market and model agree

Draw 27.1% 26.7% draw risk

OFK Beograd 23.0% 23.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 50.3% / 26.7% / 23.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,595 / 1,326 Novi Pazar / OFK Beograd

RD 248 / 251 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,098-2,091 / 825-1,827 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.96 market consensus · no value · model 23.0%

X 3.37 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 50.3%

Double chance

12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%

1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 77.0%

X2 1.82 market consensus · no value · model 49.7%

Handicap

2 +1 1.45 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.75 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.58 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.39 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.95 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.95 51.3%
yes	1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.26 79.4%	1.29 77.5%
1x	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%
x2	1.85 54.1%	1.78 56.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.44 41.0%
X	2.07 48.3%
	4.59 21.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.85 54.1%
Under 1	1.85 54.1%

Match center

Novi Pazar

D W

26.07 16:30 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings

Novi Pazar 0:0 Mladost

18.07 16:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings

Novi Pazar 1:0 Radnichki 1923

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

0.5 Scored

0.0 Conceded

4 Points

OFK Beograd

D L

25.07 16:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings

OFK Beograd 0:0 Radnik

19.07 15:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings

OFK Beograd 0:4 Voyvodina

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovi Pazar - OFK Beograd

Novi Pazar

0 matches total

OFK Beograd

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Novi Pazar

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 OFK Beograd

2 Games 2

1 Wins 0

1 Draws 1

0 Losses 1

1 Scored 0

0 Conceded 4

4 Points 1

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

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