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Serbia: Superliga Standings
Serbia: Superliga Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
09.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Serbia: Superliga Standings

OFK Beograd - Zeleznicar Pancevo

Football
OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd
- : -
Not started
Zeleznicar Pancevo
Zeleznicar Pancevo

OFK Beograd meet Zeleznicar Pancevo on August 9, 2026 in the Serbia: Superliga Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): OFK Beograd 1-1-1, Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 OFK Beograd39%

Pure model vs market (1 · OFK Beograd): model 47% · market 39% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · OFK Beograd39.5%
X · draw27.2%
2 · Zeleznicar Pancevo33.4%

Model estimate: win OFK Beograd 39.5%, draw 27.2%, win Zeleznicar Pancevo 33.4%. Model favourite — OFK Beograd.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction OFK Beograd - Zeleznicar Pancevo August 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: OFK Beograd. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.37 / X 3.40 / 2 2.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 3 books · best price +1.7%
1 39.0%
X 27.5%
2 33.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
OFK Beograd
39%
2.37
Draw
27%
3.40
Zeleznicar Pancevo
33%
2.85
Handicap
OFK Beograd (0)
54%
1.76
Zeleznicar Pancevo (0)
46%
2.06
Total
Over 2.5
55%
1.73
Under 2.5
45%
2.10

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 09.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 39.5% @ 2.37 / X 27.6% @ 3.40 / 2 32.9% @ 2.85
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model OFK Beograd 39%
💹 Market OFK Beograd 39%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

OFK Beograd - Zeleznicar Pancevo

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
OFK Beograd 39.0% 39.5% market and model agree
Draw 27.5% 27.2% draw risk
Zeleznicar Pancevo 33.5% 33.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.5% / 27.2% / 33.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,609 / 1,558 OFK Beograd / Zeleznicar Pancevo
RD 230 / 247 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,149-2,068 / 1,064-2,053 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · no value · model 33.4%
X 3.34 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.33 market consensus · no value · model 39.5%
Double chance
12 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 72.8%
1X 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 66.6%
X2 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 60.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.99 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.38 72.5% 1.37 73.0%
x2 1.48 67.6% 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.96 33.8%
X 2.14 46.7%
3.27 30.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.67 59.9%
Under 1 2.07 48.3%
Match center
OFK Beograd
W D L
01.08 18:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
OFK Beograd 4:1 Novi Pazar
25.07 16:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
OFK Beograd 0:0 Radnik
19.07 15:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
OFK Beograd 0:4 VoyvodinaVoyvodina
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points
Zeleznicar Pancevo
D W
03.08 19:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0:0 MladostMladost
17.07 16:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
Zeleznicar Pancevo 2:1 Radnichki Nish
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points