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Serbia: Superliga Standings
Serbia: Superliga Standings
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
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Serbia: Superliga Standings

FK Partizan - IMT Novi Beograd

Football
FK Partizan
FK Partizan
- : -
Not started
I
IMT Novi Beograd

FK Partizan go head-to-head with IMT Novi Beograd on August 2, 2026 in the Serbia: Superliga Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): FK Partizan 1-1-0, IMT Novi Beograd 2-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 FK Partizan58%

Pure model vs market (1 · FK Partizan): model 37% · market 60% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · FK Partizan58.5%
market60%
X · draw21.1%
market21%
2 · IMT Novi Beograd20.4%
market19%

Model estimate: win FK Partizan 58.5%, draw 21.1%, win IMT Novi Beograd 20.4%. Model favourite — FK Partizan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FK Partizan (odds1.61) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Partizan: probability 50% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
  • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Partizan - IMT Novi Beograd August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: FK Partizan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.40 / 2 4.91

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 60.0%
X 21.1%
2 18.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Super Liga
League table
FK Partizan
#44 ptsGP 21-1-05:3
IMT Novi Beograd
#26 ptsGP 22-0-05:0
Best price across 12 books
1 1.57 Betano
X 4.33 Bet365
2 5.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FK Partizan
W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.84 Conceded 1.12 xG 1.86 xGA 1.12 Corners 3.7
IMT Novi Beograd
W-D-L 6-4-0 Scored 1.46 Conceded 0.28 xG 1.39 xGA 1.16 Corners 5.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FK Partizan
Rating 1632 xG 1.75 Win 59%
IMT Novi Beograd
Rating 1604 xG 0.86 Win 18%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 60.0% @ 1.55 / X 21.1% @ 4.40 / 2 18.9% @ 4.91
Match center

FK Partizan - IMT Novi Beograd

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FK Partizan 59.8% 58.5% market and model agree
Draw 21.0% 21.1% draw risk
IMT Novi Beograd 19.2% 20.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.5% / 21.1% / 20.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,608 / 1,743 Partizan / Novi Belgrad
RD 252 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,104-2,112 / 1,234-2,251 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 market consensus · no value · model 20.4%
X 4.33 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 58.5%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 78.9%
1X 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 79.6%
X2 2.30 market consensus · no value · model 41.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
x2 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.99 50.3%
X 2.41 41.5%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Under 1 2.29 43.7%
Match center
FK Partizan
W D
26.07 17:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
FK Partizan 3:1 MachvaMachva
18.07 16:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
FK Partizan 2:2 ZemunZemun
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
IMT Novi Beograd
W W
25.07 16:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
IMT Novi Beograd 4:0 ZemunZemun
19.07 15:00 UTC Serbia: Superliga Standings
IMT Novi Beograd 1:0 ChukarichkiChukarichki
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points