Serbia: First League Standings
Loznitsa - Proleter 023
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Loznitsa — 55%
Pure model vs market (1 · Loznitsa): model 44% · market 55% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Loznitsa 54.7%, draw 25.6%, win Proleter 023 19.7%. Model favourite — Loznitsa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Loznitsa: probability 52% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Loznitsa - Proleter 023 July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.50 / 2 4.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Loznitsa - Proleter 023
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.64 61.0% |
| yes | 2.12 47.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 2.10 47.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.28 43.9% | |
| X | 2.04 49.0% |
| 5.50 18.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 1 | 1.72 58.1% |
Full head-to-head historyLoznitsa - Proleter 023
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Loznitsa - Proleter 023 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form