PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
20.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Atalanta

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
0 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Atalanta April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.55 / 2 2.66
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 36.4% / X 27.3% / Atalanta 36.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 36.4%
X 27.3%
2 36.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 20.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 2.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.66 37.6%
X 3.55 28.2%
2.66 37.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.52 65.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 2.5 2.29 43.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
1.92 52.1%
Match center
AC Milan
W D L W L
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 4:0 UdineseUdinese
05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:2 NapoliNapoli
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 UdineseUdinese
06.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Atalanta
W L W W W
13.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 BolognaBologna
06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:1 LazioLazio
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 Monza
26.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 6:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 Venezia
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Atalanta

AC Milan
0 matches total
Atalanta
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history