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Serie A
Serie A Italy
36 round 10.05.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 18:45 UTC 36 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Atalanta

Italy Football
Stadium Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
AC Milan
2 : 3
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Atalanta May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.29 / 2 3.38
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 43.1% / X 28.8% / Atalanta 28.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 43.1%
X 28.8%
2 28.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 49.7%
Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium San-Siro (Dzhuzeppe Meatstsa) (Milan, Italy), vmestimost: 80018
Referee Luka Tsufferli
Start 10.05.2026 18:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Atalanta

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Milan - Atalanta, 10 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 36 round. Milan - Atalanta, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 4.09 market consensus · line only
1 2.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.12 47.2% 2.34 42.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.33 30.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
3.35 29.9% 3.48 28.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.75 — 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.0 — 1.47 68.0%
Over 2.25 — 1.78 56.2%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6% —
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3% —
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4% —
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1% —
Under 1.5 3.65 27.4% —
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3% —
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5% —
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5% —
Match center
AC Milan

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Atalanta

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Luka Modrich Travmirovannye Lorentso Bernaskoni Diskvalifitsirovannye Fikayo Tomori CHAMP
Match center
AC Milan
L D W L L
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:2 SassuoloSassuolo
26.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:0 JuventusJuventus
19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
11.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:3 UdineseUdinese
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:1 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Atalanta
D L D L W
02.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:0 GenoaGenoa
27.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:3 CagliariCagliari
18.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:1 JuventusJuventus
06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:0 LecceLecce
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Atalanta

AC Milan
2 matches total
Atalanta
AC Milan: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Atalanta: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Atalanta 0:1 (20.04 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 28.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.10 19:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan
1:1
Atalanta
20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan
0:1
Atalanta
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 AC Milan
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Atalanta
AC Milan Team comparison Atalanta
35 Games 35
19 Wins 14
10 Draws 13
6 Losses 8
48 Scored 47
29 Conceded 32
67 Points 55
101.33 Attacks 101.68
48.06 Dangerous attacks 53.1
0 Big chances 0
12.8 Shots on goal 14.49
4.14 Shots on target 4.57
prezhdeniya 1.51 0.09 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Ederson 0:1 7' Davide Dzappakosta Nikola Krstovich 0:2 29' Dzhakomo Raspadori Ederson 0:3 52' Strakhinya Pavlovich Samuele Richchi 1:3 88' Kristofer Nkunku 2:3 90+4' Nakazaniya Rafael Leau 34' Isak Khin 70' Pervis Estupinyan 89' Adrien Rabo 89' Aleksis Salemakers 90' Nikola Krstovich 90+5' Raul Bellanova 90+6'

Milan Atalanta 35 Games 35 19 Wins 14 10 Draws 13 6 Losses 8 48 Scored 47 29 Conceded 32 67 Points 55 101.33 Attacks 101.68 48.06 Dangerous attacks 53.1 0 Big chances 0 12.8 Shots on goal 14.49 4.14 Udary v stvor 4.57 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.31 Uglovye 5.94 1.8 Offsaydy 1.94 10.11 Foly 11.49 52.11 % vladeniya myachom 55.54 1.54 Warnings 1.51 0.09 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Ederson 0:1 7' Davide Dzappakosta Nikola Krstovich 0:2 29' Dzhakomo Raspadori Ederson 0:3 52' Strakhinya Pavlovich Samuele Richchi 1:3 88' Kristofer Nkunku 2:3 90+4' Nakazaniya Rafael Leau 34' Isak Khin 70' Pervis Estupinyan 89' Adrien Rabo 89' Aleksis Salemakers 90' Nikola Krstovich 90+5' Raul Bellanova 90+6'