Match center
Start
05.04.2025 18:45 UTC
05.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
AC Milan - Fiorentina
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AC Milan - Fiorentina 5 апреля 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.76 / 2 4.32
- 1X2 market: AC Milan 51.7% / X 25.8% / Fiorentina 22.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
51.7%
X
25.8%
2
22.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
AC Milan - Fiorentina
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.32
market consensus · line only
X
3.76
market consensus · line only
1
1.88
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.02
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.25
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.11
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Х | 3.76 26.6% |
| П2 | 4.32 23.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.02 49.5% |
| home_away | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.11 47.4% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.38 72.5% |
| П2 | 3.21 31.2% |
Match center
AC Milan
L
W
L
W
W
29.10 19:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
0:2
Napoli
Napoli
19.10 16:00 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:0
Udinese
Udinese
06.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:2
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
27.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:0
Lecce
Lecce
22.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:1
Inter
Inter
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Fiorentina
W
W
W
W
D
31.10 17:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:0
Genoa
Genoa
27.10 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
5:1
AS Roma
AS Roma
20.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
6:0
Lecce
Lecce
06.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:1
AC Milan
AC Milan
29.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Empoli
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.8
Scored
0.4
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Fiorentina
AC Milan
1
matches total
AC Milan: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fiorentina: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Fiorentina 1:2 (06.10 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 06.10 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
06.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
AC Milan
1:2
Fiorentina