Match center
Start
19.10.2025 18:45 UTC
19.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
AC Milan - Fiorentina
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AC Milan - Fiorentina 19 октября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.67 / 2 5.26
- 1X2 market: AC Milan 56.0% / X 25.9% / Fiorentina 18.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
56.0%
X
25.9%
2
18.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
AC Milan - Fiorentina
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.28
market consensus · line only
X
3.67
market consensus · line only
1
1.70
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.16
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.21
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.68
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.08
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.08
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.79
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.98
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| Х | 3.72 26.9% |
| П2 | 5.54 18.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.68 59.5% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.72 58.1% |
| Х | 3.65 27.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.69 27.1% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% |
| П2 | 5.20 19.2% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.13 19.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.60 17.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.05 48.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.23 44.8% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% |
Match center
AC Milan
D
W
W
W
W
05.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
0:0
Juventus
Juventus
28.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:1
Napoli
Napoli
20.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:0
Udinese
Udinese
14.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:0
Bologna
Bologna
29.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:0
Lecce
Lecce
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.2
Conceded
13
Points
Fiorentina
L
D
L
L
D
05.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
AS Roma
AS Roma
28.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Pisa
Pisa
21.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
Como
Como
13.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:3
Napoli
Napoli
31.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Torino
Torino
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Fiorentina
AC Milan
2
matches total
AC Milan: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Fiorentina: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Fiorentina 1:2 (06.10 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (2:2, 05.04 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (05.04 18:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
05.04 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
AC Milan
2:2
Fiorentina
06.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
AC Milan
1:2
Fiorentina