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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.12.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
28.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
3 : 0
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Hellas Verona December 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.69 / 2 9.09
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 69.2% / X 20.3% / Hellas Verona 10.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 69.3%
X 20.2%
2 10.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.3%
Under 2.5 50.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.12 market consensus · line only
X 4.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.06 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.20 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
X 4.79 20.9%
9.61 10.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.65 21.5% 4.90 20.4% 4.99 20.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.70 21.3%
8.90 11.2% 8.80 11.4% 9.75 10.3% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5% 9.75 10.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.00 33.3% 3.19 31.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
AC Milan
D W W W D
14.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 SassuoloSassuolo
08.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:2 TorinoTorino
29.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 LazioLazio
23.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 InterInter
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 ParmaParma
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
11 Points
Hellas Verona
W W L L D
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
06.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 3:1 AtalantaAtalanta
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 GenoaGenoa
23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 ParmaParma
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 LecceLecce
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Hellas Verona

AC Milan
0 matches total
Hellas Verona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history