Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Inter

Italy Futbol
AC Milan
AC Milan
1 : 0
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Inter 8 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.25 / X 3.07 / 2 2.39
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 29.3% / X 31.0% / Inter 39.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 29.3%
X 31.0%
2 39.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 46.8%
Under 2.5 53.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 3.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.59 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.40 29.4%
Х 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.43 41.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
Х 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.17 31.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.09 47.9%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
AC Milan
W L D W W
01.03 11:30 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:0 CremoneseCremonese
22.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:1 ParmaParma
18.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 ComoComo
13.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 PisaPisa
03.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 BolognaBologna
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Inter
W W W W W
28.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 GenoaGenoa
21.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 LecceLecce
14.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 JuventusJuventus
08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 SassuoloSassuolo
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 CremoneseCremonese
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Inter

AC Milan
2 matches total
Inter
AC Milan: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Inter: 0 (0%)
Biggest win AC Milan 1:0 (23.11 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 22.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

23.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan
1:0
Inter
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan
2:1
Inter