PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
26.04.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction Prediction
26.04.2026 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Juventus

Italy Football
Stadium Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee S. Sozza
Capacity 80 018
AC Milan
AC Milan
0 : 0
Finished
Juventus
Juventus
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Juventus — 38%

1 · AC Milan33.7%
X · draw27.9%
2 · Juventus38.3%

Model estimate: win AC Milan 33.7%, draw 27.9%, win Juventus 38.3%. Model favourite — Juventus.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Juventus April 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Strongest: Juventus - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.88 / X 3.13 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 32.8% / X 30.2% / Juventus 37.1%
  • Glicko: AC Milan 33.7% / X 27.9% / Juventus 38.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 79.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 32.8%
X 30.2%
2 37.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 5/5
Confidence 36.2%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:2

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 26.04.2026 18:45 UTC
Stadium Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milan)
Referee S. Sozza
Capacity 80,018

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ?????  ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Juventus 38%
💹 Market Juventus 3706%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

AC Milan - Juventus

AC Milan: Win 2.90 AC Milan: Draw 3.20 Juventus Win: 2.55 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.91 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov AC Milan bolshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golov AC Milan menshe 1.5: 1.50 Individualnyy total golov Juventus bo…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 16
Statistics 24
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
21' 21' Yellow Card | Andrea Cambiaso Juventus
36' 36' Goal Disallowed - offside | Khéphren Thuram Juventus
38' 38' Yellow Card | Davide Bartesaghi AC Milan
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Davide Bartesaghi | assist/sub out: Pervis EstupiG±GЎn AC Milan
62' 62' Substitution 2 | Christian Pulišić | assist/sub out: Niclas Füllkrug AC Milan
67' 67' Substitution 3 | Youssouf Fofana | assist/sub out: Samuele Ricci Thomas Dähne AC Milan
71' 71' Substitution 1 | Khéphren Thuram | assist/sub out: Teun Koopmeiners Juventus
71' 71' Substitution 2 | Andrea Cambiaso | assist/sub out: Emil Holm Juventus
Metric AC Milan Juventus SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.65 0.52 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 2 final
Shots off target 5 3 final
Shots on target 1 5 final
Udary vsego 8 10 final
Fouls soversheno 12 8 final
Zheltye kartochki 2 3 final
Offsides 0 2 final
AC Milan #10 R. Leao, #11 Christian Pulišić, #12 A. Rabiot, #14 L. Modric, #16 M. Maignan, #19 Youssouf Fofana, #23 F. Tomori, #31 S. Pavlovic, #33 D. Bartesaghi, #46 Matteo Gabbia, #56 A. Saelemaekers
Juventus #3 Bremer, #5 M. Locatelli, #6 L. Kelly, #7 F. Conceicao, #13 J. Boga, #15 P. Kalulu, #16 M. Di Gregorio, #19 K. Thuram, #22 Weston McKennie, #27 A. Cambiaso, #30 J. David
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Jashari AC Milan football.player.assists 0
A. Jashari AC Milan Seyvy 0
A. Jashari AC Milan football.player.minutes_played 10
A. Jashari AC Milan Klyuchevye pasy 6
A. Jashari AC Milan Reyting (staryy) 6.6
A. Jashari AC Milan Otbory vsego 6
A. Rabiot AC Milan football.player.assists 0
A. Rabiot AC Milan Dribling popytki 6
A. Rabiot AC Milan Edinoborstva vsego 2
A. Rabiot AC Milan Edinoborstva vyigrano 11
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
AC Milan 32.3% 33.7%
Draw 30.2% 27.9% draw risk
Juventus 37.5% 38.3% market and model agree
xG - 1.13 : 1.23
Total 2.5 Over 79.2% - Under 20.8%
Model check - - Difference 0.02
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 33.7% / 27.9% / 38.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,639 / 1,658 AC Milan / Juventus
RD 75 / 73 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · no value · model 38.3%
X 3.13 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.88 market consensus · no value · model 33.7%
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 66.3%
12 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 72.1%
1X 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 61.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · weak value +53.7% · model 79.2%
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · no value · model 20.8%
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.84 35.2% 3.08 32.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.17 31.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3%
2.55 39.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.57 38.9% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75 — 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.0 — 1.44 69.4%
Over 2.25 — 1.68 59.5%
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8% —
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8% —
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0% —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% —
Under 1.5 3.40 29.4% —
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2% —
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1% —
Match center
AC Milan
Founded 1899
Juventus
Founded 1897
Match center
AC Milan
W L L W L
19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
11.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:3 UdineseUdinese
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:1 NapoliNapoli
21.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:2 TorinoTorino
15.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:1 LazioLazio
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Juventus
W W W D W
19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 BolognaBologna
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 GenoaGenoa
21.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
14.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:0 UdineseUdinese
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Juventus

AC Milan
1 matches total
Juventus
AC Milan: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Juventus: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (05.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan
0:0
Juventus
Match center
? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.