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Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
29.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Lazio

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
1 : 0
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Lazio November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.74 / 2 5.51
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 57.2% / X 25.5% / Lazio 17.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 57.2%
X 25.5%
2 17.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.53 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.93 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.68 59.5%
X 3.78 26.5%
5.76 17.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.64 61.0% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.88 25.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3%
5.70 17.5% 5.60 17.9% 5.87 17.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.27 44.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
AC Milan
W D W D D
23.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 InterInter
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 ParmaParma
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
28.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
24.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 PisaPisa
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Lazio
W L W D W
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 LecceLecce
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 InterInter
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 CagliariCagliari
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 PisaPisa
26.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 JuventusJuventus
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Lazio

AC Milan
0 matches total
Lazio
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history