Match center
Start
18.01.2026 19:45 UTC
18.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
AC Milan - Lecce
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AC Milan - Lecce 18 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 5.33 / 2 11.88
- 1X2 market: AC Milan 74.1% / X 17.9% / Lecce 8.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
74.2%
X
17.8%
2
8.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
AC Milan - Lecce
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
5.35
market consensus · line only
1
1.28
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.66
market consensus · line only
12
1.16
market consensus · line only
1X
1.05
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.66
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.82
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
10.00
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.27
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.98
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.53
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.42
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.28 78.1% |
| Х | 5.67 17.6% |
| П2 | 12.94 7.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| Х | 4.90 20.4% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.59 17.9% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% |
| П2 | 12.00 8.3% | 11.50 8.7% | 12.40 8.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 12.00 8.3% | 11.50 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.55 64.5% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.54 64.9% |
| yes | 2.35 42.6% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.39 41.8% | 2.59 38.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.55 28.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.74 26.7% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
Match center
AC Milan
W
D
D
W
W
15.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:1
Como
Como
11.01 14:00 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:1
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
08.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:1
Genoa
Genoa
02.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:0
Cagliari
Cagliari
28.12 11:30 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:0
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.6
Conceded
11
Points
Lecce
L
L
L
D
L
14.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:1
Inter
Inter
11.01 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:2
Parma
Parma
06.01 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:2
AS Roma
AS Roma
03.01 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:1
Juventus
Juventus
27.12 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:3
Como
Como
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.4
Scored
1.8
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Lecce
AC Milan
2
matches total
AC Milan: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
AC Milan 3:0 (27.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (3:0, 27.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
29.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
AC Milan
2:0
Lecce
27.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
AC Milan
3:0
Lecce