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Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.10.2024 19:45 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2024 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Napoli

Italy Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
0 : 2
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Napoli October 29, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.91 / X 3.22 / 2 2.68
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 33.5% / X 30.2% / Napoli 36.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 33.4%
X 30.2%
2 36.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2024 19:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.68 market consensus · line only
X 3.22 market consensus · line only
1 2.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.91 34.4%
X 3.22 31.1%
2.68 37.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.46 68.5%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.52 65.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.5 1.86 53.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
1.86 53.8%
Match center
AC Milan
W L W W W
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 UdineseUdinese
06.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 LecceLecce
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 InterInter
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 4:0 Venezia
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Napoli
W W W W D
26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 LecceLecce
20.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 Empoli
04.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 ComoComo
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 Monza
21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:0 JuventusJuventus
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Napoli

AC Milan
0 matches total
Napoli
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history