Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Udinese

Italy Futbol
AC Milan
AC Milan
1 : 0
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Udinese 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 5.12 / 2 8.40
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 69.6% / X 18.9% / Udinese 11.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 69.6%
X 18.9%
2 11.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 59.9%
Under 2.5 40.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 19.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Udinese

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.40 market consensus · line only
X 5.12 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
Х 5.12 19.5%
П2 8.40 11.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.21 31.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.62 61.7%
ТМ 2.5 2.42 41.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.13 88.5%
П2 6.75 14.8%
Match center
AC Milan
L W W W
06.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 3:0 LecceLecce
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 InterInter
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 4:0 Venezia
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Udinese
W L L W W
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 LecceLecce
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 InterInter
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 ParmaParma
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 ComoComo
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Udinese

AC Milan
0 matches total
Udinese
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history