Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AC Milan - Venezia

Italy Futbol
AC Milan
AC Milan
4 : 0
Finished
Venezia
Venezia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Venezia 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 6.24 / 2 10.45
  • 1X2 market: AC Milan 75.3% / X 15.5% / Venezia 9.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 75.3%
X 15.5%
2 9.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

AC Milan - Venezia

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.24 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
Х 6.24 16.0%
П2 10.45 9.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.94 25.4%
home_away 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.19 45.7%
ТМ 3.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.09 91.7%
П2 8.70 11.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Venezia

AC Milan
0 matches total
Venezia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history