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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.08.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
23.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Bologna

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
1 : 0
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Bologna August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.21 / 2 3.72
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 44.8% / X 29.6% / Bologna 25.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 44.8%
X 29.6%
2 25.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.73 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.16 46.3%
X 3.25 30.8%
3.87 25.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.08 48.1% 2.13 47.0% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.77 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
AS Roma
W W L W W
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 TorinoTorino
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:1 AC MilanAC Milan
12.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
04.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 InterInter
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Bologna
L L L D D
24.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 GenoaGenoa
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:3 FiorentinaFiorentina
09.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 AC MilanAC Milan
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 JuventusJuventus
28.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Bologna

AS Roma
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history