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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.12.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
15.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Como

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
1 : 0
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Como December 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.07 / 2 3.58
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 42.4% / X 31.0% / Como 26.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 42.5%
X 31.0%
2 26.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 41.3%
Under 2.5 58.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.59 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.27 44.1%
X 3.16 31.7%
3.71 27.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.24 44.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.33 42.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.18 31.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
AS Roma
L L W W L
07.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 CagliariCagliari
30.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 NapoliNapoli
23.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:1 CremoneseCremonese
09.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 UdineseUdinese
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Como
L W W D D
06.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:4 InterInter
28.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 SassuoloSassuolo
24.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Como 5:1 TorinoTorino
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 CagliariCagliari
01.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Como

AS Roma
0 matches total
Como
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history