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Serie A Italy

04.05.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction

04.05.2025 16:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

AS Roma - Fiorentina

Italy Football

AS Roma

1 : 0

Finished

Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Fiorentina May 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.76 / 2 5.25
1X2 market: AS Roma 55.7% / X 25.8% / Fiorentina 18.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%

1 55.7%

X 25.8%

2 18.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%

Over 2.5 48.5%

Under 2.5 51.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.05.2025 16:00 UTC

Match center

AS Roma - Fiorentina

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.25 market consensus · line only

X 3.76 market consensus · line only

1 1.74 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.22 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.19 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.74 57.5%
X	3.76 26.6%
	5.25 19.1%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.22 45.1%
home_away	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.19 84.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 2.5	2.01 49.8%
Under 2.5	1.89 52.9%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.29 77.5%
	3.90 25.6%

Match center

AS Roma

W W D D W

27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 1:0 Inter

19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 1:0 Hellas Verona

13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 1:1 Lazio

06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 1:1 Juventus

31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 1:0 Torino

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.4 Conceded

11 Points

Fiorentina

W W D D W

27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:1 Empoli

23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:1 Cagliari

13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Parma

05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:2 AC Milan

31.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 1:0 Genoa

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Fiorentina

AS Roma

1 matches total

Fiorentina

AS Roma: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Fiorentina: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Fiorentina 1:5 (27.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 27.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.10 19:45 UTC

Serie A

AS Roma

1:5

Fiorentina