AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to AS Roma. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Serie A
AS Roma go head-to-head with Fiorentina on August 24, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): AS Roma 5-0-0, Fiorentina 1-3-1. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 AS Roma — 57%
Model estimate: win AS Roma 57.3%, draw 20.5%, win Fiorentina 22.3%. Model favourite — AS Roma.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.55 39.2% | |
| 4.10 24.4% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 4.20 23.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 3 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Over 4 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Under 1 | 7.80 12.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Under 2 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 3 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Under 4 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% |
AS Roma
Fiorentina
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
Latsio
Parma Kalcho
Fiorentina
Bolonya
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Yuventus
Dzhenoa
Roma
Sassuolo
Full head-to-head history: AS Roma - Fiorentina
Seriya A
Fiorentina
Seriya A
Fiorentina
Seriya A
Fiorentina
The AS Roma - Fiorentina breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 24, 2026.
