Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Inter

Italy Futbol
AS Roma
AS Roma
0 : 1
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Inter 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.08 / X 3.48 / 2 2.01
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 23.8% / X 27.9% / Inter 48.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 23.8%
X 27.9%
2 48.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Under 2.5 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Inter

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.01 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 4.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.08 24.5%
Х 3.48 28.7%
П2 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.88 53.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.03 49.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.94 34.0%
П2 1.44 69.4%
Match center
AS Roma
D W W D D
06.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 Monza
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 Venezia
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 UdineseUdinese
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 GenoaGenoa
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:0 JuventusJuventus
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Inter
W W L D
05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 TorinoTorino
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 UdineseUdinese
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:1 Monza
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Inter

AS Roma
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history