Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Inter

Italy Futbol
AS Roma
AS Roma
0 : 1
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Inter 18 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.51 / X 3.22 / 2 2.25
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 27.4% / X 29.8% / Inter 42.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 27.4%
X 29.9%
2 42.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 54.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 3.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.63 27.6%
Х 3.25 30.8%
П2 2.25 44.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 3.60 27.8% 3.54 28.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.63 27.6% 3.63 27.6%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
П2 2.21 45.3% 2.31 43.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.60 62.5%
Match center
AS Roma
W W W L W
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
21.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 LazioLazio
14.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 TorinoTorino
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 PisaPisa
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Inter
W W W L L
04.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:1 CremoneseCremonese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 CagliariCagliari
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:4 JuventusJuventus
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:2 UdineseUdinese
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Inter

AS Roma
2 matches total
Inter
AS Roma: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Inter: 1 (50%)
Biggest win AS Roma 1:0 (27.04 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 27.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
1:0
Inter
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
0:1
Inter