Serie A
Serie A Italy
01.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Juventus

Italy Futbol
AS Roma
AS Roma
3 : 3
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Juventus 1 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.59 / X 3.01 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 36.6% / X 31.6% / Juventus 31.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 36.7%
X 31.6%
2 31.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.7%
Under 2.5 58.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.61 38.3%
Х 3.09 32.4%
П2 3.11 32.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.58 38.8% 2.58 38.8% 2.66 37.6% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
Х 2.98 33.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.12 32.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 2.88 34.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.12 32.1% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
AS Roma
W D W L D
22.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 CremoneseCremonese
15.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:2 NapoliNapoli
09.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 CagliariCagliari
02.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 UdineseUdinese
25.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Juventus
L L D W W
21.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:2 ComoComo
14.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:3 InterInter
08.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:2 LazioLazio
01.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:1 ParmaParma
25.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:0 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Juventus

AS Roma
3 matches total
Juventus
AS Roma: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (66.7%)
Juventus: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Juventus 1:2 (20.12 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 20.12 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.04 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

20.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
1:2
Juventus
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
1:1
Juventus
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
0:0
Juventus