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Serie A Italy

37 round 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 10:00 UTC 37 round

Finished

Serie A

AS Roma - Lazio

Italy Football

AS Roma

2 : 0

Finished

Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Lazio May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.20 / 2 6.71
1X2 market: AS Roma 63.4% / X 22.5% / Lazio 14.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%

1 63.4%

X 22.5%

2 14.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 51.3%

Under 2.5 48.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: AS Roma

Main outcome AS Roma

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 50.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Olimpiko (Rim, Italy), 50 152 zritelya (73% pri vmestimosti 68 530)

Referee Fabio Mareska (Neapol)

Start 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

AS Roma - Lazio

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Roma - Latsio, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 37 round. Roma - Latsio, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:0

Events 19

Statistics 24

Lineups 47

min Event Player Team

21' 21' Yellow Card | K. Taylor K. Taylor Lazio

37' 37' Substitution 1 | E. Ndicka | assist/sub out: D. Rensch E. Ndicka AS Roma

40' 40' Normal Goal | G. Mancini | assist/sub out: N. Pisilli G. Mancini AS Roma

42' 42' Yellow Card | M. Cancellieri Matteo Cancellieri Lazio

42' 42' Yellow Card | M. Hermoso Mario Hermoso AS Roma

46' 46' Substitution 2 | N. Pisilli | assist/sub out: S. El Shaarawy N. Pisilli AS Roma

62' 62' Substitution 1 | K. Taylor | assist/sub out: F. Dele-Bashiru K. Taylor Lazio

62' 62' Substitution 2 | B. Dia | assist/sub out: D. Maldini B. Dia Lazio

Metric AS Roma Lazio SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.19 0.69 final

Zablokirovannye udary 1 1 final

Shots off target 8 3 final

Shots on target 7 2 final

Udary vsego 16 6 final

Fouls soversheno 15 17 final

Red cards 1 1 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 3 final

AS Roma #14 Donyell Malen, #22 Mario Hermoso, #43 Wesley, #61 N. Pisilli, #99 Mile Svilar, #5 E. Ndicka, #8 N. El Aynaoui, #21 Paulo Dybala, #4 B. Cristante, #23 G. Mancini, #19 Zeki Çelik

Lazio #14 Tijjani Noslin, #17 N. Tavares, #24 K. Taylor, #55 Alessio Furlanetto, #6 N. Rovella, #19 B. Dia, #25 Oliver Provstgaard, #22 Matteo Cancellieri, #26 Toma Bašić, #34 Mario Gila, #77 A. Marusic

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Dovbyk AS Roma football.player.assists 0

A. Dovbyk AS Roma football.player.minutes_played 8

B. Cristante AS Roma football.player.assists 0

B. Cristante AS Roma football.player.minutes_played 90

Devyne Rensch AS Roma football.player.assists 0

Devyne Rensch AS Roma football.player.minutes_played 53

Donyell Malen AS Roma football.player.assists 0

Donyell Malen AS Roma football.player.minutes_played 83

E. Ndicka AS Roma football.player.assists 0

E. Ndicka AS Roma football.player.minutes_played 37

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.71 market consensus · line only

X 4.20 market consensus · line only

1 1.49 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.58 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.56 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.83 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.81 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.51 66.2%	1.51 66.2%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.47 68.0%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.40 22.7%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%	4.20 23.8%
	6.00 16.7%	7.80 12.8%	6.50 15.4%	6.50 15.4%	6.80 14.7%	6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.76 56.8%	1.83 54.6%
yes	1.93 51.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.50 40.0%	2.74 36.5%	2.60 38.5%	2.62 38.2%	2.57 38.9%	2.50 40.0%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.14 87.7%	1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5	1.28 78.1%	1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75	—	1.31 76.3%
Over 2.0	—	1.38 72.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.67 59.9%
Over 2.5	1.85 54.1%	—
Over 3.5	3.10 32.3%	—
Over 4.5	5.75 17.4%	—
Under 0.5	9.50 10.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.60 27.8%	—
Under 2.5	1.93 51.8%	—
Under 3.5	1.35 74.1%	—
Under 4.5	1.12 89.3%	—

Match center

AS Roma

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Lazio

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Evan Fergyuson Lorentso Pellegrini Brayan Saragosa Travmirovannye Ivan Provedel Diskvalifitsirovannye Alessio Romanoli CHAMP

Match center

AS Roma

W W W D W

10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 3:2 Parma

04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 4:0 Fiorentina

25.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 2:0 Bologna

18.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 1:1 Atalanta

10.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

AS Roma 3:0 Pisa

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

13 Points

Lazio

L W D W L

09.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Lazio 0:3 Inter

04.05 16:30 UTC Serie A

Lazio 2:1 Cremonese

27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 3:3 Udinese

18.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Lazio 2:0 Napoli

13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 0:1 Fiorentina

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Lazio

AS Roma

2 matches total

Lazio

AS Roma: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Lazio: 0 (0%)

Biggest win AS Roma 1:0 (21.09 10:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 13.04 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (13.04 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

21.09 10:30 UTC

Serie A

AS Roma

1:0

Lazio

13.04 18:45 UTC

Serie A

AS Roma

1:1

Lazio

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 AS Roma

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Lazio

36 Games 36

21 Wins 13

4 Draws 12

11 Losses 11

55 Scored 39

31 Conceded 37

67 Points 51

114.79 Attacks 92.54

55.39 Dangerous attacks 41.57

0 Big chances 0

12.75 Shots on goal 10.83

4.53 Shots on target 4.03

niya 0.22 Goly Dzhanluka Manchini Nikkolo Pizilli 1:0 40' Dzhanluka Manchini Paulo Dibala 2:0 66' Nakazaniya Kennet Teylor 22' Matteo Kanchelleri 42' Mario Ermoso 43' Nunu Tavaresh 64' Uesli Fransa 71' Nikolo Rovella 71' Stefan El-Shaaravi 85'

Roma Latsio 36 Games 36 21 Wins 13 4 Draws 12 11 Losses 11 55 Scored 39 31 Conceded 37 67 Points 51 114.79 Attacks 92.54 55.39 Dangerous attacks 41.57 0 Big chances 0 12.75 Shots on goal 10.83 4.53 Udary v stvor 4.03 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.06 Uglovye 3.72 1.72 Offsaydy 0.89 13.78 Foly 10.42 56.33 % vladeniya myachom 50.19 1.81 Warnings 1.94 0.06 Sendoffs 0.22 Goly Dzhanluka Manchini Nikkolo Pizilli 1:0 40' Dzhanluka Manchini Paulo Dibala 2:0 66' Nakazaniya Kennet Teylor 22' Matteo Kanchelleri 42' Mario Ermoso 43' Nunu Tavaresh 64' Uesli Fransa 71' Nikolo Rovella 71' Stefan El-Shaaravi 85'