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Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.10.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Parma

Italy Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
2 : 1
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Parma October 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.13 / 2 7.69
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 64.6% / X 23.0% / Parma 12.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 64.6%
X 23.0%
2 12.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 45.3%
Under 2.5 54.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.73 market consensus · line only
X 4.13 market consensus · line only
1 1.47 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.67 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.95 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.48 67.6%
X 4.18 23.9%
8.30 12.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.35 23.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.25 23.5%
7.10 14.1% 7.40 13.5% 7.95 12.6% 7.00 14.3% 8.50 11.8% 7.30 13.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7% 2.23 44.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.60 38.5% 2.74 36.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.76 36.2%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
AS Roma
W L W W W
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 InterInter
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
21.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 LazioLazio
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Parma
D D L W D
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 ComoComo
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 LecceLecce
29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 TorinoTorino
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Parma

AS Roma
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history