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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.09.2024 16:00 UTC Match prediction
22.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Udinese

Italy Futbol
AS Roma
AS Roma
3 : 0
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Udinese 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 4.01 / 2 5.13
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 57.0% / X 24.2% / Udinese 18.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 57.0%
X 24.2%
2 18.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Udinese

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.13 market consensus · line only
X 4.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.70 58.8%
Х 4.01 24.9%
П2 5.13 19.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.26 44.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 2.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.29 77.5%
П2 3.90 25.6%
Match center
AS Roma
D D
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 GenoaGenoa
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:0 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points
Udinese
W W
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 ParmaParma
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 ComoComo
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Udinese

AS Roma
0 matches total
Udinese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history