Serie A
Serie A Italy
09.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Udinese

Italy Futbol
AS Roma
AS Roma
2 : 0
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Udinese 9 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.00 / 2 6.65
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 61.8% / X 23.8% / Udinese 14.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 61.9%
X 23.8%
2 14.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.6%
Under 2.5 53.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Udinese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.68 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.23 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.54 64.9%
Х 4.05 24.7%
П2 7.23 13.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.54 64.9% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
Х 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.14 24.2% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7%
П2 6.25 16.0% 6.30 15.9% 6.75 14.8% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.90 14.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
AS Roma
L W W L W
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 ParmaParma
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 InterInter
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Udinese
W L W D D
01.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:3 JuventusJuventus
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:2 LecceLecce
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:1 CremoneseCremonese
05.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:1 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Udinese

AS Roma
1 matches total
Udinese
AS Roma: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Biggest win AS Roma 3:0 (22.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 22.09 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma
3:0
Udinese