Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

AS Roma - Venezia

Italy Futbol
AS Roma
AS Roma
2 : 1
Finished
Venezia
Venezia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Venezia 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.62 / 2 7.66
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 66.4% / X 21.0% / Venezia 12.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 66.4%
X 21.0%
2 12.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

AS Roma - Venezia

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.66 market consensus · line only
X 4.62 market consensus · line only
1 1.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.93 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.46 68.5%
Х 4.62 21.7%
П2 7.66 13.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.93 34.1%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.16 86.2%
П2 6.02 16.6%
Match center
AS Roma
W D D
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 UdineseUdinese
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 GenoaGenoa
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:0 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
5 Points
Venezia
W L
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 2:0 GenoaGenoa
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Venezia 0:4 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Venezia

AS Roma
0 matches total
Venezia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history