Serie A Italy

13.04.2025 10:30 UTC Match prediction

13.04.2025 10:30 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Atalanta - Bologna

Italy Futbol

Atalanta

2 : 0

Finished

Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Bologna 13 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.50 / 2 3.74
1X2 market: Atalanta 46.5% / X 27.6% / Bologna 25.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%

1 46.5%

X 27.6%

2 25.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%

Over 2.5 47.9%

Under 2.5 52.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 13.04.2025 10:30 UTC

Match center

Atalanta - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.74 market consensus · line only

X 3.50 market consensus · line only

1 2.08 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.80 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.08 48.1%
Х	3.50 28.6%
П2	3.74 26.7%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.80 55.6%
home_away	1.34 74.6%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	2.03 49.3%
ТМ 2.5	1.87 53.5%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.50 66.7%
П2	2.69 37.2%

Match center

Atalanta

L W W W W

06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 0:1 Lazio

30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 2:0 Monza

26.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 6:1 Hellas Verona

20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 2:0 Venezia

05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 5:1 Genoa

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.6 Conceded

12 Points

Bologna

D W D D D

07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Bologna 1:1 Napoli

29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Bologna 2:0 Cagliari

19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Bologna 2:2 Genoa

06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Bologna 0:0 Parma

28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A

Bologna 1:1 Atalanta

1 Wins

4 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Bologna

Atalanta

1 matches total

Bologna

Atalanta: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Bologna: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 28.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.09 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Atalanta

1:1

Bologna