Serie A Italy

37-й тур 17.05.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 16:00 UTC 37-й тур

Finished

Serie A

Atalanta - Bologna

Italy Futbol

Atalanta

0 : 1

Finished

Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Bologna 17 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 4.00 / 2 4.42
1X2 market: Atalanta 54.7% / X 23.8% / Bologna 21.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 54.7%

X 23.8%

2 21.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 58.1%

Under 2.5 41.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: Atalanta

Main outcome Atalanta

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 55.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center

Stadium Джевисс — Атлети Адзурри д’Италия (Бергамо, Италия), 22 140 зрителей (92% при вместимости 24 000)

Referee Даниэле Перенцони (Италия)

Start 17.05.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Atalanta - Bologna

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Аталанта - Болонья, 17 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Италии по футболу (Серия A) 2025-2026, 37-й тур. Аталанта - Болонья, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:1

Events 12

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

52' 52' Yellow Card | T. Pobega T. Pobega Bologna

63' 63' Substitution 1 | M. De Roon | assist/sub out: M. Pasalic Marten de Roon Atalanta

63' 63' Substitution 2 | N. Zalewski | assist/sub out: Y. Musah N. Zalewski Atalanta

64' 64' Substitution 3 | G. Raspadori | assist/sub out: K. Sulemana G. Raspadori Atalanta

69' 69' Substitution 1 | T. Pobega | assist/sub out: N. Moro T. Pobega Bologna

69' 69' Substitution 2 | S. Castro | assist/sub out: T. Dallinga S. Castro Bologna

69' 69' Substitution 3 | F. Bernardeschi | assist/sub out: R. Orsolini F. Bernardeschi Bologna

77' 77' Yellow Card | M. Pasalic M. Pasalic Atalanta

Metric Atalanta Bologna SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 0.76 0.69 final

Заблокированные удары 4 2 final

Удары мимо 5 3 final

Удары в створ 1 5 final

Удары всего 10 10 final

Фолы совершено 17 6 final

Желтые карточки 1 1 final

Офсайды 3 1 final

Atalanta #18 G. Raspadori, #29 M. Carnesecchi, #59 N. Zalewski, #69 H. Ahanor, #90 N. Krstović, #13 Ederson, #17 C. De Ketelaere, #19 B. Djimsiti, #15 Marten de Roon, #42 G. Scalvini, #77 D. Zappacosta

Bologna #1 Ł. Skorupski, #4 T. Pobega, #11 J. Rowe, #33 Juan Miranda, #8 R. Freuler, #9 S. Castro, #14 T. Heggem, #5 E. Helland, #10 F. Bernardeschi, #19 L. Ferguson, #17 João Mário

Player Team Metric SStats

B. Domínguez Bologna football.player.assists 0

B. Domínguez Bologna football.player.minutes_played 2

E. Helland Bologna football.player.assists 0

E. Helland Bologna football.player.minutes_played 90

F. Bernardeschi Bologna football.player.assists 0

F. Bernardeschi Bologna football.player.minutes_played 69

J. Rowe Bologna football.player.assists 1

J. Rowe Bologna football.player.minutes_played 88

João Mário Bologna football.player.assists 0

João Mário Bologna football.player.minutes_played 90

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.42 market consensus · line only

X 4.00 market consensus · line only

1 1.74 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.12 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.20 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.64 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.13 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.21 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	1.75 57.1%	1.77 56.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.73 57.8%
Х	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	3.80 26.3%	4.10 24.4%	4.10 24.4%	4.00 25.0%
П2	4.10 24.4%	4.70 21.3%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.50 22.2%	4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.25 44.4%	2.22 45.1%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.22 45.1%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.19 45.7%	2.23 44.8%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.17 46.1%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.24 80.7%	1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.25	—	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.5	1.20 83.3%	1.16 86.2%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.20 83.3%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.26 79.4%
ТБ 2.25	—	1.51 66.2%
ТБ 2.5	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%
ТБ 3.5	2.55 39.2%	—
ТБ 4.5	4.75 21.1%	—
ТМ 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
ТМ 1.5	4.33 23.1%	—
ТМ 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.50 66.7%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.18 84.8%	—

Match center

Atalanta

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Bologna

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Лоренцо Бернаскони Травмированные Николо Камбьяги Николо Казале Мартин Витик Дисквалифицированные Исак Хин CHAMP Джон Лукуми CHAMP

Match center

Atalanta

W D L D L

10.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 3:2 AC Milan

02.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 0:0 Genoa

27.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 2:3 Cagliari

18.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 1:1 AS Roma

11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 0:1 Juventus

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Bologna

W D L L W

11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Bologna 3:2 Napoli

03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A

Bologna 0:0 Cagliari

25.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Bologna 0:2 AS Roma

19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Bologna 0:2 Juventus

12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Bologna 2:0 Lecce

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Bologna

Atalanta

3 matches total

Bologna

Atalanta: 2 (66.7%)

Draws:1 (33.3%)

Bologna: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Atalanta 2:0 (07.01 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 07.01 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 5

Match history

07.01 17:30 UTC

Serie A

Atalanta

2:0

Bologna

13.04 10:30 UTC

Serie A

Atalanta

2:0

Bologna

28.09 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Atalanta

1:1

Bologna

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Atalanta

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Bologna

36 Игры 36

15 Победы 15

13 Ничьи 7

8 Поражения 14

50 Забито 45

34 Пропущено 43

58 Очки 52

100.75 Атаки 99.06

52.25 Опасные атаки 44.69

0 Голевые моменты 0

14.33 Удары по воротам 12.83

4.58 Удары в створ 3.83

ления 0.17 Голы Риккардо Орсолини Джонатан Роу 0:1 78' Наказания Томмазо Побега 52' Марио Пашалич 77'

Аталанта Болонья 36 Игры 36 15 Победы 15 13 Ничьи 7 8 Поражения 14 50 Забито 45 34 Пропущено 43 58 Очки 52 100.75 Атаки 99.06 52.25 Опасные атаки 44.69 0 Голевые моменты 0 14.33 Удары по воротам 12.83 4.58 Удары в створ 3.83 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 5.83 Угловые 4.56 1.94 Оффсайды 1.92 11.64 Фолы 13.11 55.19 % владения мячом 55.44 1.56 Предупреждения 1.75 0.06 Удаления 0.17 Голы Риккардо Орсолини Джонатан Роу 0:1 78' Наказания Томмазо Побега 52' Марио Пашалич 77'