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Serie A
Serie A Italy
24.09.2024 18:45 UTC Match prediction
24.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Como

Italy Futbol
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 : 3
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Como 24 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.58 / 2 6.67
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 64.3% / X 21.2% / Como 14.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 64.3%
X 21.2%
2 14.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 57.1%
Under 2.5 42.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Como

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.67 market consensus · line only
X 4.58 market consensus · line only
1 1.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.51 66.2%
Х 4.58 21.8%
П2 6.67 15.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.79 35.8%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.15 87.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 2.5 2.26 44.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.19 84.0%
П2 5.22 19.2%
Match center
Atalanta
W
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Como
D L
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:2 BolognaBologna
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Como

Atalanta
0 matches total
Como
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history