Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Como

Italy Futbol
Atalanta
Atalanta
1 : 1
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Como 4 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.32 / 2 2.97
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 39.2% / X 28.7% / Como 32.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 39.2%
X 28.7%
2 32.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.48 40.3%
Х 3.38 29.6%
П2 3.05 32.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.38 42.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9%
П2 2.98 33.6% 2.95 33.9% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Atalanta
D W W D D
27.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 JuventusJuventus
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:0 TorinoTorino
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 4:1 LecceLecce
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 ParmaParma
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 PisaPisa
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Como
D W D L W
27.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 CremoneseCremonese
21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 GenoaGenoa
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 BolognaBologna
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 LazioLazio
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Como

Atalanta
1 matches total
Como
Atalanta: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Como: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Como 2:3 (24.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 24.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

24.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta
2:3
Como