Match center
Start
30.11.2025 17:00 UTC
30.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Atalanta - Fiorentina
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atalanta - Fiorentina 30 ноября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.
Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.87 / 2 5.31
- 1X2 market: Atalanta 57.4% / X 24.6% / Fiorentina 18.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
57.4%
X
24.6%
2
18.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atalanta - Fiorentina
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.33
market consensus · line only
X
3.87
market consensus · line only
1
1.66
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.25
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.28
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.75
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.93
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.75
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.87
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.97
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.83
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Х | 3.90 25.6% |
| П2 | 5.57 18.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.64 61.0% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Х | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.11 24.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.85 26.0% |
| П2 | 5.40 18.5% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.42 18.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.98 50.5% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.20 45.5% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.27 44.1% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% |
Match center
Atalanta
L
L
L
D
D
22.11 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
1:3
Napoli
Napoli
09.11 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
0:3
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
01.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
0:1
Udinese
Udinese
28.10 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
1:1
AC Milan
AC Milan
25.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
1:1
Cremonese
Cremonese
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
2
Points
Fiorentina
D
D
L
L
D
22.11 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:1
Juventus
Juventus
09.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Genoa
Genoa
02.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:1
Lecce
Lecce
29.10 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:3
Inter
Inter
26.10 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Bologna
Bologna
0
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
matches total
Atalanta: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fiorentina: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Atalanta 3:2 (15.09 13:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (3:2, 15.09 13:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
15.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Atalanta
3:2
Fiorentina