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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.12.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
28.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Atalanta - Inter

Italy Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
0 : 1
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Inter December 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.92 / X 3.59 / 2 1.93
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 24.3% / X 26.5% / Inter 49.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 24.3%
X 26.5%
2 49.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Atalanta - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.93 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 3.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.88 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.02 24.9%
X 3.75 26.7%
1.94 51.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3% 4.17 24.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7%
1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.13 47.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
Atalanta
W W L W L
21.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 GenoaGenoa
13.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:1 CagliariCagliari
06.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:3 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
30.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
22.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:3 NapoliNapoli
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Inter
W W W L W
14.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 GenoaGenoa
06.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:0 ComoComo
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 PisaPisa
23.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 LazioLazio
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Inter

Atalanta
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history