Match center
Start
28.09.2024 18:45 UTC
28.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Bologna - Atalanta
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bologna - Atalanta 28 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.
Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.03 / X 3.24 / 2 2.57
- 1X2 market: Bologna 32.1% / X 30.0% / Atalanta 37.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.8%
1
32.1%
X
30.0%
2
37.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.7%
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bologna - Atalanta
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.57
market consensus · line only
X
3.24
market consensus · line only
1
3.03
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.43
market consensus · line only
12
1.38
market consensus · line only
1X
1.56
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.12
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.03 33.0% |
| Х | 3.24 30.9% |
| П2 | 2.57 38.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.43 69.9% |
| home_away | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_draw | 1.56 64.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.12 47.2% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.11 47.4% |
| П2 | 1.79 55.9% |
Match center
Bologna
W
D
22.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
2:1
Monza
14.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
2:2
Como
Como
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
4
Points
Atalanta
L
W
24.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
2:3
Como
Como
15.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
3:2
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBologna - Atalanta
Bologna
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals