Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Atalanta

Italy Futbol
Bologna
Bologna
0 : 2
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Atalanta 7 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.01 / X 3.21 / 2 2.46
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 31.6% / X 29.7% / Atalanta 38.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 31.6%
X 29.7%
2 38.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 47.5%
Under 2.5 52.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 3.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.07 32.6%
Х 3.25 30.8%
П2 2.54 39.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.11 32.2% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.33 30.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Bologna
L D L D L
04.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 InterInter
28.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
14.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 JuventusJuventus
07.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 LazioLazio
01.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 CremoneseCremonese
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Atalanta
W L W W L
03.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
28.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:1 InterInter
21.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:0 GenoaGenoa
13.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 2:1 CagliariCagliari
06.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:3 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Atalanta

Bologna
2 matches total
Atalanta
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Atalanta: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Atalanta 0:2 (13.04 10:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 13.04 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna
0:2
Atalanta
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna
1:1
Atalanta