Serie A
Serie A Italy
30.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Como

Italy Futbol
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 0
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Como 30 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.12 / 2 3.00
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 37.7% / X 30.5% / Como 31.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 37.7%
X 30.6%
2 31.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Under 2.5 55.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.12 market consensus · line only
1 2.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.63 38.0%
Х 3.10 32.3%
П2 3.09 32.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.52 39.7%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 2.95 33.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.96 51.0% 1.77 56.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Bologna
L L L L D
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
24.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 GenoaGenoa
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:3 FiorentinaFiorentina
09.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 AC MilanAC Milan
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
Como
W L D W W
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 LazioLazio
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:2 InterInter
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 CagliariCagliari
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 ParmaParma
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Como

Bologna
1 matches total
Como
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Como: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 14.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (14.09 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
2:2
Como