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Serie A
Serie A Italy
01.12.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
01.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Cremonese

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 3
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Cremonese December 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.05 / 2 6.60
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 62.1% / X 23.5% / Cremonese 14.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 62.1%
X 23.5%
2 14.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.61 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.95 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
X 4.08 24.5%
6.71 14.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.54 64.9% 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%
6.50 15.4% 6.40 15.6% 6.73 14.9% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.60 15.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.52 39.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.53 39.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Bologna
W W W D D
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:0 UdineseUdinese
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 NapoliNapoli
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:1 ParmaParma
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 TorinoTorino
26.10 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Cremonese
L L L W D
23.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:3 AS RomaAS Roma
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 PisaPisa
01.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 JuventusJuventus
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:0 GenoaGenoa
25.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Cremonese

Bologna
0 matches total
Cremonese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history