Serie A
Serie A Italy
24.05.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Genoa

Italy Futbol
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 3
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Genoa 24 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.29 / 2 6.81
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 63.2% / X 22.6% / Genoa 14.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 63.2%
X 22.6%
2 14.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.29 market consensus · line only
1 1.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.53 65.4%
Х 4.29 23.3%
П2 6.81 14.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.62 38.2%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.08 48.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.84 54.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.19 84.0%
П2 5.23 19.1%
Match center
Bologna
L L D D W
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:3 FiorentinaFiorentina
09.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 AC MilanAC Milan
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 JuventusJuventus
28.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 UdineseUdinese
20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 InterInter
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Genoa
L D L L L
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 NapoliNapoli
05.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
27.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 ComoComo
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 LazioLazio
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Genoa

Bologna
1 matches total
Genoa
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 19.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (19.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
2:2
Genoa