Match center
Start
20.09.2025 13:00 UTC
20.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Bologna - Genoa
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bologna - Genoa 20 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.
Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.22 / 2 4.92
- 1X2 market: Bologna 50.6% / X 29.8% / Genoa 19.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.0%
1
50.6%
X
29.9%
2
19.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5
38.0%
Under 2.5
62.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bologna - Genoa
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.96
market consensus · line only
X
3.22
market consensus · line only
1
1.90
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.96
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.47
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.18
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.55
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.55
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.56
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.66
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.19
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Х | 3.20 31.3% |
| П2 | 5.25 19.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.92 52.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Х | 3.25 30.8% | 3.32 30.1% | 3.26 30.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| П2 | 4.75 21.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.25 19.1% | 4.50 22.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.19 45.7% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.95 51.3% |
| home_away | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
Match center
Bologna
L
W
L
L
L
14.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
0:1
AC Milan
AC Milan
30.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
1:0
Como
Como
23.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
0:1
AS Roma
AS Roma
24.05 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
1:3
Genoa
Genoa
18.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Bologna
2:3
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
3
Points
Genoa
D
L
D
W
L
15.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
1:1
Como
Como
31.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
0:1
Juventus
Juventus
23.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
0:0
Lecce
Lecce
24.05 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
3:1
Bologna
Bologna
17.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
2:3
Atalanta
Atalanta
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBologna - Genoa
Bologna
2
matches total
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Genoa: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Genoa 1:3 (24.05 16:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 24.05 16:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (19.10 13:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
24.05 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Bologna
1:3
Genoa
19.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Bologna
2:2
Genoa