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Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.04.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
20.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Inter

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 0
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Inter April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.09 / 2 2.59
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 31.3% / X 31.4% / Inter 37.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 31.2%
X 31.3%
2 37.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 44.4%
Under 2.5 55.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.59 market consensus · line only
X 3.09 market consensus · line only
1 3.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.10 32.3%
X 3.09 32.4%
2.59 38.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.54 64.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.18 45.9%
Under 2.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.12 47.2%
1.77 56.5%
Match center
Bologna
L D W D D
13.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 NapoliNapoli
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 CagliariCagliari
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 GenoaGenoa
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 ParmaParma
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Inter
W D W D W
12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:1 CagliariCagliari
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:2 ParmaParma
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:0 Empoli
27.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:4 JuventusJuventus
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Inter

Bologna
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history