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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.05.2026 16:00 UTC 38 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Inter

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
3 : 3
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Inter May 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.61 / X 3.64 / 2 2.00
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 26.3% / X 26.1% / Inter 47.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 26.3%
X 26.1%
2 47.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 57.1%
Under 2.5 42.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Renato Dall'Ara (Bolonya, Italy), vmestimost: 39279
Referee Kevin Bonachina
Start 23.05.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Inter

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Bolonya - Inter M, 23 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 38 round. Bolonya - Inter M, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.55 28.2% 3.76 26.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.78 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0%
1.97 50.8% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.75 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.0 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 3.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Bologna

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Inter

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Nikolo Kambyagi Nikolo Kazale Martin Vitik Travmirovannye Markus Tyuram Denzel Dumfris Manuel Akandzhi Khakan Chalkhanoglu
Match center
Bologna
W W D L L
17.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:2 NapoliNapoli
03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 CagliariCagliari
25.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 JuventusJuventus
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Inter
D W W D W
17.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
09.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:0 LazioLazio
03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 ParmaParma
26.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:2 TorinoTorino
17.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:0 CagliariCagliari
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Inter

Bologna
2 matches total
Inter
Bologna: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Inter: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Inter 1:3 (04.01 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 04.01 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

04.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna
1:3
Inter
20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
1:0
Inter
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Bologna
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Inter
Bologna Team comparison Inter
37 Games 37
16 Wins 27
7 Draws 5
14 Losses 5
46 Scored 86
43 Conceded 32
55 Points 86
99.06 Attacks 102.25
44.83 Dangerous attacks 57.03
0 Big chances 0
12.76 Shots on goal 17.05
3.86 Shots on target 5.89
niya 1.68 0.16 Sendoffs 0 Goly Federiko Dimarko 0:1 22' Federiko Bernardeski 1 25' Tommazo Pobega 2:1 42' Petr Zelinski 3:1 48' Franchesko Espozito 3:2 64' Andi Diuf Luka Topalovich 3 86' Nakazaniya Lautaro Martines 41' Genrikh Mkhitaryan 77'

Bolonya Inter M 37 Games 37 16 Wins 27 7 Draws 5 14 Losses 5 46 Scored 86 43 Conceded 32 55 Points 86 99.06 Attacks 102.25 44.83 Dangerous attacks 57.03 0 Big chances 0 12.76 Shots on goal 17.05 3.86 Udary v stvor 5.89 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.57 Uglovye 6.41 1.89 Offsaydy 1.68 12.92 Foly 13.08 55.43 % vladeniya myachom 59.97 1.73 Warnings 1.68 0.16 Sendoffs 0 Goly Federiko Dimarko 0:1 22' Federiko Bernardeski 1 25' Tommazo Pobega 2:1 42' Petr Zelinski 3:1 48' Franchesko Espozito 3:2 64' Andi Diuf Luka Topalovich 3 86' Nakazaniya Lautaro Martines 41' Genrikh Mkhitaryan 77'