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Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
04.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Juventus

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 1
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Juventus May 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.37 / X 3.01 / 2 3.67
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 41.1% / X 32.4% / Juventus 26.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 41.1%
X 32.4%
2 26.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 37.3%
Under 2.5 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.67 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.37 42.2%
X 3.01 33.2%
3.67 27.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.59 38.6%
Under 2.5 1.54 64.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.58 63.3%
2.48 40.3%
Match center
Bologna
D W L D W
28.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 UdineseUdinese
20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 InterInter
13.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 NapoliNapoli
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Juventus
W L W D D
27.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 Monza
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:1 ParmaParma
12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 LecceLecce
06.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:2 ParmaParma
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Juventus

Bologna
0 matches total
Juventus
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history