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Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.12.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
14.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Juventus

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
0 : 1
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Juventus December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.34 / X 3.24 / 2 2.25
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 28.4% / X 29.4% / Juventus 42.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 28.4%
X 29.3%
2 42.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 48.4%
Under 2.5 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.24 market consensus · line only
1 3.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.65 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.48 28.7%
X 3.33 30.0%
2.27 44.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.36 29.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Bologna
D L W W W
07.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 LazioLazio
01.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 CremoneseCremonese
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:0 UdineseUdinese
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 NapoliNapoli
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:1 ParmaParma
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Juventus
L W D D W
07.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:2 NapoliNapoli
29.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 CagliariCagliari
22.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
08.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 TorinoTorino
01.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Juventus

Bologna
1 matches total
Juventus
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Juventus: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.05 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna
1:1
Juventus